Derrick Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Derrick Henry has run a route on 40.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has been among the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 17.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
Derrick Henry has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging an impressive 7.60 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Derrick Henry has accumulated a paltry -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 5th percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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