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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 45.6% of their downs: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to earn 16.6 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Derrick Henry has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this year (52.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (65.7%).

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