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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to total 18.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Derrick Henry has garnered 61.2% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's safety corps has been great this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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