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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The model projects Derrick Henry to accumulate 15.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's collection of safeties has been awful last year, profiling as the 10th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game in this week's game (54.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (66.8% in games he has played).

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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