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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 21.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game this week (77.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (89.9% in games he has played).
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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