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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.7 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 24.1 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (78.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (90.8% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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