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D'Ernest Johnson
NFL · Player Props
D'Ernest Johnson
RB · Jacksonville Jaguars
Receptions
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props D'Ernest Johnson Receptions

D'Ernest Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

Favors Over
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.49 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 6th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • The Ravens pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.6%) vs. running backs this year (86.6%).
Favors Under
  • The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • D'Ernest Johnson has run a route on 13.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • D'Ernest Johnson has been one of the bottom pass-catching RBs this year, averaging just 0.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 25th percentile among running backs.
  • The Ravens safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
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