Derius Davis Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Derius Davis

NFL · Player Props

Derius Davis

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 4:22 PM EST

Analysis

Derius Davis Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2603/-2678).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are enormous -7.5-point underdogs.
Derius Davis has posted many more air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (3.0 per game).
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
With a 51.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league in these cases has been the Chargers.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Chargers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Derius Davis has been been lightly used his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Derius Davis's 8.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in football: 16th percentile for wide receivers.

More Derius Davis Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow