My Account Log Out
 
Derek Carr
NFL · Player Props
Derek Carr
QB · Las Vegas Raiders
TD Passes
New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 30, 2022 6:56 PM UTC
NFL Props Derek Carr TD Passes

Derek Carr TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -146.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Raiders rank as the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 38.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
  • Derek Carr's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 62.7%.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the NFL versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year (65.8%).
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
More Derek Carr Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow