Derek Carr TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Raiders have been the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 66.5% red zone pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 37.6 passes this week, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (72.9%).

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Derek Carr's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 61.4%.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 8th-least touchdowns through the air in football: 1.11 per game this year.

More Derek Carr Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow