Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 20, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average).
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The predictive model expects Derek Carr to garner 1.7 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Taking on just 2.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year (13th percentile among quarterbacks), Derek Carr's immobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
With a terrible tally of 2.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (3rd percentile), Derek Carr has been as one of the weakest rushing QBs in the league this year.

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