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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Derek Carr to garner 1.7 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Taking on just 2.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year (13th percentile among quarterbacks), Derek Carr's immobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
  • With a terrible tally of 2.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (3rd percentile), Derek Carr has been as one of the weakest rushing QBs in the league this year.

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