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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.98 seconds per snap.
  • The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (142 per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season.
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to accumulate 2.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
  • Derek Carr has generated a mere 6.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in the league among quarterbacks (24th percentile).
  • Derek Carr has been among the weakest QBs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a measly 0.47 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 8th percentile.

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