Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Saints have been the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 44.3% run rate.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to earn 1.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr is not much of a rusher and has accounted for just 5.2% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 20th percentile among quarterbacks.

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