Derek Carr Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 285.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 285.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 285.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 38.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr has been among the leading QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 259.0 yards per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Derek Carr's passing precision has worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 59.9%.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 8th-least yards in the NFL (just 218.0 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season.

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