My Account Log Out

reorder

Derek Carr

Derek Carr Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

The Las Vegas Raiders have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

More Derek Carr Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™