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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Derek Carr to attempt 36.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

The Jaguars have intercepted 1.28 targets per game this year, ranking as the 6th-best defense in football by this standard.

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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