Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Interceptions

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New York cornerbacks project as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Derek Carr has averaged just 0.56 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
The New York Giants have intercepted 0.99 balls per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in football by this metric.

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