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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New York cornerbacks project as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Derek Carr has averaged just 0.56 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • The New York Giants have intercepted 0.99 balls per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in football by this metric.

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