Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Interceptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 3, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Derek Carr has attempted 37.0 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Derek Carr has averaged 0.90 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Denver Broncos have intercepted 0.67 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 10th-worst defense in the league by this standard

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.