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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have intercepted 0.84 throws per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a mere 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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