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Derek Carr
NFL · Player Props
Derek Carr
QB · Las Vegas Raiders
Interceptions
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Derek Carr Interceptions

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.
Favors Under
  • The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have intercepted 0.84 throws per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a mere 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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