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Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Derek Carr has attempted 36.4 throws per game this year, grading out in the 75th percentile among QBs.The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.The Los Angeles Rams safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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