My Account Log Out

reorder

Derek Carr

Derek Carr Completions
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The projections expect Derek Carr to throw 36.9 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league vs. the Patriots defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Derek Carr Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™