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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Completions
Player Prop Week 3

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.98 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-highest rate in the league against the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season (71.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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