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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Completions
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season (73.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Saints have been the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 55.7% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.
  • Derek Carr has been among the worst precision passers in football since the start of last season with a 61.2% Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.

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