Derek Carr Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Derek Carr to total 1.8 rush attempts this week, on average: the fewest of all QBs.

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