Derek Carr Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The Panthers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The predictive model expects Derek Carr to earn 1.8 carries this week, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

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