Deon Jackson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Deon Jackson

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Deon Jackson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+138/-188).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to notch 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.2% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line has afforded their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.