My Account Log Out

reorder

Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Demario Douglas's 75.9% Route% this year reflects a substantial growth in his passing attack utilization over last year's 59.2% mark.

Demario Douglas's 87.3% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a significant improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 64.1% rate.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been torched for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.6%) versus WRs since the start of last season (69.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 124.5 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 26.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Patriots O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass game stats across the board.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™