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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Demario Douglas's 75.3% Route Participation% this season shows a meaningful boost in his passing offense workload over last season's 59.2% mark.

Demario Douglas's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.1% to 79.0%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (189.0) vs. WRs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.79 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Patriots as the 10th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

Demario Douglas has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

The New England O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Demario Douglas's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, accumulating a mere 4.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.39 mark last year.

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