My Account Log Out

reorder

Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

Demario Douglas has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (76.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (59.2%).

Demario Douglas's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 64.1% to 82.7%.

The Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Demario Douglas has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Demario Douglas's 3.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a significant regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.4% figure.

The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54.8%) to wide receivers this year (54.8%).

More Demario Douglas Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™