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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

Demario Douglas's 77.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 64.1% figure.

With a terrific 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (76th percentile) this year, Demario Douglas stands as one of the best wide receivers in the game in football in space.

This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has conceded a monstrous 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After totaling 44.0 air yards per game last season, Demario Douglas has fallen off this season, currently sitting at 32.0 per game.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.

The Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 125.0) to wide receivers this year.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

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