My Account Log Out

reorder

Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Demario Douglas has been one of the top wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 6.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 98th percentile.

The Bengals defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (174.0) versus wide receivers last year.

The Bengals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus wide receivers last year, giving up 10.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™