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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (-105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Demarcus Robinson to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this week (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.3% in games he has played).

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Demarcus Robinson's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 3.4 yards per game compared to a measly 1.7 last year.

Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 66.4% to 72.8%.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

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