Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM EST

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+101/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.8 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.94 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in the league.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has afforded their QB just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.