Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-912).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +427 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +415.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New York Giants safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in football since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.9% to 52.9%.

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