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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-912).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +427 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +415.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The New York Giants safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.9% to 52.9%.

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