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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+371/-752).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -708 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -752.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Demarcus Robinson to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (18.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.9% in games he has played).

Demarcus Robinson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

Demarcus Robinson's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 15.2.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the league.

Demarcus Robinson grades out in the 20th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.08 per game.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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