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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).
  • With an exceptional 22.3% Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. WRs this year (69.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • Deebo Samuel's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.3% to 61.1%.

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