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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/-102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).

With a high 88.8% Route Participation% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Deebo Samuel ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

In this contest, Deebo Samuel is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.

With a fantastic 4.2 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Deebo Samuel places as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Cardinals pass defense has given up a massive 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.

The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

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