Deebo Samuel Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a sizeable 90.2% Route Participation% (85th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
Deebo Samuel's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 70.4%.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
The the San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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