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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Deebo Samuel to notch 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Deebo Samuel's 53.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 44.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 27.5 per game) this year.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

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