Deebo Samuel Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
Deebo Samuel has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.3% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Deebo Samuel has been among the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 4.6 receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in football since the start of last season.

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