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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).
  • With an exceptional 22.3% Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • Deebo Samuel has compiled many more air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).
  • Deebo Samuel profiles as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an excellent 60.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • Deebo Samuel's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.3% to 61.1%.

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