Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects Deebo Samuel to accrue 6.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
This year, the porous Dolphins pass defense has allowed a colossal 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.
The Dolphins linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 49ers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.
Deebo Samuel's 76.5% Route Participation Rate this season conveys an impressive regression in his pass game utilization over last season's 90.2% figure.
Deebo Samuel has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

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