Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Deebo Samuel is projected by the projections to land in the 78th percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.
Deebo Samuel has been one of the leading WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an excellent 7.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 99th percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 8.56 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 49ers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.
Deebo Samuel's 75.2% Route Participation% this season marks a substantial decline in his air attack workload over last season's 90.2% mark.

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