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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved offense results when facing better conditions in this week's contest.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accrue 6.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Deebo Samuel has been an integral part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 23.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 84th percentile among WRs.
  • Deebo Samuel has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 52.0 yards per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a big 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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