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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Deebo Samuel to accrue 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With a high 23.2% Target% (84th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands among the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • Deebo Samuel has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
  • Deebo Samuel's 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 52.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

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