Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Deebo Samuel's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten better this season, accumulating 11.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 8.66 figure last season.

Favors Under

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
Deebo Samuel has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

More Deebo Samuel Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow