My Account Log Out

reorder

Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+204/-307).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -288 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -307.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deebo Samuel has accounted for a colossal 25.8% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wideouts.

Deebo Samuel's 56.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 89th percentile for wideouts.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Deebo Samuel ranks in the 75th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.29 per game.

The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 116.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 61.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.

Deebo Samuel's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.5% to 59.5%.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (61.3%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (61.3%).

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™