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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • DeAndre Hopkins's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 56.6% to 68.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has run fewer routes this season (48.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (86.5%).
  • DeAndre Hopkins's 2.4 adjusted receptions per game this year marks an impressive decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.4 figure.
  • The Tampa Bay cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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