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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

DeAndre Hopkins is positioned as one of the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of CBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast DeAndre Hopkins to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack in this week's contest (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.9% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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