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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

With an impressive 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) since the start of last season, DeAndre Hopkins stands as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.

Our trusted projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.0% in games he has played).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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